Research & project showcases
02 · Empirical finance research
HKEX IPO Performance Study
A 441-firm regression study of how industry, assets, and revenue relate to ROE among Hong Kong IPOs from 2020 to 2025.
HKEX IPO sample2020-2025
441
OLS · log transforms · clustered inference
Project overview
This study uses ROE as a defined proxy for post-IPO financial performance and evaluates industry, firm size, and revenue with explicit caveats about inference.
Research question
Do industry classification, total assets, and total revenue explain variation in ROE around the IPO period?
Workflow
- 01Compile a 441-firm HKEX IPO sample from the Wind Financial Database.
- 02Use ROE as the outcome and log-transform heavily skewed assets and revenue variables.
- 03Estimate cross-sectional OLS with industry dummy variables and Consumer Discretionary as the reference group.
- 04Compare conventional and industry-clustered standard errors, then interpret results alongside omitted-variable and proxy limitations.
02
Data & methodology
Data sources
- Wind Financial Database
- 441 HKEX IPO firms
- IPO cohort spanning 2020-2025
Methods
- Cross-sectional OLS regression
- Log transformations
- Industry one-hot encoding
- Industry-clustered standard errors
Evidence boundary
Input→Preparation→Analysis→Output
Content is based on the local paper and its HTML output; the underlying Wind dataset is not published.
Results & conclusion
Key outputs
- 17-page research paper
- Regression specification and coefficient output
- Confidence-interval visualizations
- HTML research deliverable
Documented findings
- The report documents industry-level differences in the analysis narrative.
- The reported adjusted R-squared was -0.0045, limiting the strength of broad explanatory claims.
Conclusion
Industry and accounting variables alone did not provide a sufficiently precise basis for strong general claims about IPO performance in the documented specification.
Decision relevance
- The result favors a cautious due-diligence approach that supplements sector labels with firm-level drivers.
- ROE can inform a fundamental view but does not capture market reception or first-day performance.
Limitations
- ROE is only a proxy for IPO success.
- The cross-sectional design does not establish causality.
- Firm age, leverage, ownership, and market conditions were not fully modeled.